Winpower containment Iran

What is a successful containment policy in Iran?

A successful containment policy will promote long-term positive political change in Iran while avoiding counterproductive provocation. No viable U.S. policy options can eliminate the Iranian threat in the near term at acceptable cost without inviting substantial risks.

How effective is Iran's counter-containment?

However, despite Iran’s elevating sense of security as well as its effectiveness in keeping the US at bay and defusing its regime-change agenda, Iran’s counter-containment proved too costly and less effective than what seems to be Tehran’s initial calculation.

Is Iran ready to weaponize?

Iran values self-sufficiency and autonomy and derives domestic legitimacy from U.S., Western, and Israeli hostility by portraying itself as the only guardian of the Islamic Republic's core principles. It is unlikely Iran has already decided to weaponize.

Why was Iran isolated after the 1979 Islamic Revolution?

Soon after, the 1979 Islamic Revolution, Iran was isolated by the West, responding in its initial strategic reflections vis-à-vis the US policy of containment in a counter-containment campaign—a multidimensional effort to fend off threats posed by the US containment strategy in different domains of military, security, economy and beyond.

Why did Iran sign a nuclear deal?

Moving from counter-containment to deterrence vis-à-vis the US over the past decades, Iran signed the 2015 nuclear deal only to find itself under a US maximum pressure campaign in 2018. Nevertheless, that campaign was not effective in bringing Iran to the negotiating table of US design.

How did Iran achieve regional deterrence?

Capacity-building was centred at the heart of Iran’s regional deterrence. As its foes and rivals enjoyed the ultimate deterrence—nuclear warheads—Iran had to find a way to deter them, which was operationalized in an asymmetric fashion by developing conventional capacity within and through the Axis of Resistance across the region.